It often feels as if Manchester United are always drawn at home in the FA Cup, but is this really the case?
Here are Manchester Uniteds results from every FA Cup going back to the 1999/2000 season when they didn’t enter (excluding replays, semis and final):
| ManUtd | v | LeedsUnited |
| Fulham | 0-4 | ManUtd |
| Derby | 1-4 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 2-1 | Tottenham |
| Southampton | 0-3 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 0-1 | Portsmouth |
| ManUtd | 4-0 | Arsenal |
| ManUtd | 3-1 | Tottenham |
| AstonVilla | 0-2 | ManUtd |
| Middlesbro | 2-2 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 1-1 | Reading |
| ManUtd | 2-1 | Portsmouth |
| ManUtd | 2-1 | AstonVilla |
| Liverpool | 1-0 | ManUtd |
| Wolves | 0-3 | ManUtd |
| Burton | 0-0 | ManUtd |
| Southampton | 0-4 | ManUtd |
| Everton | 0-2 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 3-0 | Middlesbro |
| ManUtd | 0-0 | Exeter |
| ManUtd | 2-1 | Fulham |
| ManUtd | 4-2 | ManCity |
| Northampton | 0-3 | ManUtd |
| AstonVilla | 1-2 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 0-2 | Arsenal |
| ManUtd | 6-0 | WestHam |
| ManUtd | 4-1 | Portsmouth |
| Middlesbro | 2-0 | ManUtd |
| AstonVilla | 2-3 | ManUtd |
| ManUtd | 0-1 | WestHam |
| Fulham | 1-2 | ManUtd |
This comes out at 16 ties at home, 15 away to give 52% drawn at home.
However if you remove the ‘lesser’ teams i.e. take into account only the teams you’d really rather be drawn at home to face (Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur, Aston Villa):
8 at home, 5 away to give 62% drawn at home.
Statistically irrelevant maybe, however we can be sure that neither Aston Villa nor Tottenham Hotspur fans will bat an eyelid should the fourth round bring a trip to Old Trafford in tomorrows draw.
Our prediction:
None. Don’t bet on random events.
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Thank you very much for that great article
Didn’t help them much this time!
Round 4
Tottenham v Leeds United
Would have been Manchester United again…